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uk property market

UK Property Market: How is it doing now?

There’s been lots of uncertainty and apprehension for the UK and specifically the UK property market since Brexit. But some interesting data has been found. THE average UK house price has climbed by £17,000 in a year, continuing a “strong” run of growth, according to an official report. The typical property value was around £217,000 in July, marking an 8.3% year-on-year increase, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS).

Notably property values have also increased by £1,000 compared with the previous month. While the 8.3% rate of annual growth is a slowdown compared to a rate of 9.7% recorded in June, it continues “the strong growth seen since the end of 2013”, the report said. Property prices are regional. The average house price in England now stands at £233,000, while in Wales it is £145,000, Scotland £144,000 and in Northern Ireland it’s £123,000.

Across the regions of England, London understandably continues to have the highest average house price at £485,000, followed by the South East and the East of England, where house prices stand at £313,000 and £274,000 respectively. The lowest average price continues to be in the North East at £130,000.

Post Brexit the UK Property Market seems to be doing OK to say the least. In fact it’s very encouraging news. This is a great boost for our London Property Bond which continues to be a success. maintaining a strong level of equity and security for investors. Although the pound has weakened it has proved a huge motivation for overseas investment into areas such as London. The Chinese are seeing a 15% improvement on the exchange rate.

Worldwide Investment

What’s new in the world of investment?

The Bank of England is releasing trails of information into the media to suggest an interest rate rise possibly by the end of the year. Experts believe with the Chinese Black Monday, lowering oil prices and the turmoil in the global markets that bank interest rates will not increase until February of 2016. The Chinese stock market nosedived by a whopping 8.5% recently sending investors into panic. Even to the point that the Chinese reduced their bank interest rate in attempt to soften the blow.

Oil prices have hit an all-time low this year on the back of the Chinese market with many employees within the industry being laid off. Economists are predicting that US Federal Reserve will suspend their September interest rate increase and Bank of England’s forecast to be put back after the early 2016 forecast. Analysts have stated that the weakness in emerging markets is now spreading to developed markets. That in turn doesn’t make a base rate increase viable in the US or UK in the coming months ahead.

How has this effected worldwide investment? Whilst the unpredictability of the stock market has kicked in, the fixed rate returns of asset back investments that Barrington Howe specialise in continue to thrive. With the business models strong enough to stand a drop in the market, these secured assets continue to raise millions in private funding giving above average returns in the form of fixed rate bonds and property loan notes. With interest rates still at an all-time low, bank savings are still receiving an extremely low return and have done so for over 5 years. The decision on where is the best place to invest always poses a conundrum. However, fixed rate asset backed alternative investment is still thriving.

 

 

Luxury London Barrington Howe

Central London property prices set to rise 18% in next five years

Central London property prices set to rise 18% in next five years and rents by 19.5% as market moves forward after the UK’s general election, it is claimed.

The latest analysis says that unprecedented uncertainty surrounding last month’s election saw a stifling of house price growth across London, with the rate of house price growth at less than 4%, compared to the 9.6% increase seen in 2014.

The majority win by the conservatives has eased the fear of mansion taxes and potential capped rents. London is not to bear the brunt of these negative tax changes. However both issues have now subsided, following the surprise majority win by the Conservatives, according to international real estate consultants Cluttons.

Pre election worries saw domestic and international buyers’ confidence reflected in a sharp tailing off in demand during the first quarter of 2015. Behavioral trends saw vendors withdrawing properties and buyers adopting a wait and see approach. However, this is not the case with the exit strategy of our London Property Bond which has sold 3 off plan luxury penthouse apartments in fashionable St Johns Wood. As such it provides an excellent example of a strong niche market breaking the barriers in central London property.

‘There is no doubt that the results of the general election have helped to re-inject confidence into the market that had receded early on this year,’ said Cluttons’ international research and business development manager, Faisal Durrani.

‘The outlook for the London housing market has stabilised, while buyers and vendors have returned to the market following a conspicuous absence of activity. Our outlook for the rest of the year is for increased stability in the market and a return to a more normal state of activity,’ he added.

The report also says that despite the Mortgage Market Review (MMR) contributing to a 16% year on year dip in home purchase loans in greater London to March 2015, affordability appears to be improving slightly, with the average loan size dipping to 3.86 times annual income in the first quarter of 2015.

Cluttons forecasts modest central London house price growth in 2015 of between 2% and 3%, before accelerating to nearly 5% in 2016 and stabilising at around 4% per annum between 2017 and 2019. Cluttons expect this level of growth to deliver cumulative capital value appreciation of almost 18% over the next five years.

The prospects for the prime central London rental market are stable, with average growth of 4% per annum forecast for the next five years. ‘The key driver of course for this behaviour is the desire to purchase.

For investors seeking a strong market to invest into, our London Property Bond represents a sensible option with strong forecasts for the years ahead. A 5 year bond with a fixed return of 8% per annum paid every 6 months.