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Germany

Germany: Market Review September 2017

 

In a period of uncertainty in which the UK has suffered from since the announcement of Brexit, the question most investors ask themselves is “what do I do now”? Where should I invest my money? That is the million dollar question! Looking at research one such place that is pointing towards a healthy growth is Germany, the centre of Europe. It’s ironic that uncertainty has been caused by the UK exiting Europe yet the country with the most economic growth is benefitting from this decision! Germany has been a leader in Europe and has been for some time. Unemployment has halved since Angela Merkel became chancellor in 2005. Germany has not only achieved better growth than most of the Eurozone since the financial crash but it is now running a budget surplus.

AAA for Germany

The rating agency Fitch certified Germany as a AAA business location again. Germany gained repeatedly the best possible rating because of its broadly diversified economy with high added value and a strict debt discipline. Although the debt ratio of 68%, compared to the economic output is higher than the average value of 41% of the AAA countries, Fitch expects a surplus in the German federal budget.  Also Moody’s and Standard and Poors gave Germany the best rating. All positive news for our Dolphin Trust Investors. This contributes to the current fact that Germany is hardly obligated to distribute interest rates on bonds which therefore relieves the budget. As a result the German debt securities are corresponding high because bonds are regarded as a risk free investment.

Construction Sector increases contract and revenues

Just like real estate prices, construction industry in Germany is growing constantly. This is shown by the latest study of the German Realtors Association (IVD). The annual evaluation of the IVD shows that property prices in Germany increased again by six per cent. In 2016 too, the price increase in apartments with an average residential value was at 6.03% compared to the previous year, while 2015 showed an increase of 5%. In recent years, large scale cities in particular have seen price growth at a very high level. Most of all, in the smaller and medium sized cities there is a stronger increase since these have very good price dynamics. Areas like Berlin are constantly growing in value, even though Berlin is still much cheaper than other capitals in the EU. Of all the German locations, Leipzig shows the sharpest price increase. A whopping 23.53% since last year! This is mainly due to the sustaining housing demand. In fact 400,000 new apartments are needed every year to meet current demands. As such the construction industry has benefited from this. In June 2017, contract prices showed a value of roughly 6.8 billion euros, 1.1% higher than the previous year. These are the highest figures since 1996! Sales in residential construction grew by 11% in the first half of the year. It all adds to a strong and positive outlook for the residential and construction market in Germany.

According to scientists from the Otto Beisheim School of Management, Frankfurt and the entire Rhine Main region can expect tens of thousands of new jobs outside the bank sector. Their study concludes that, in the best case, up to 88,000 new jobs outside the financial sector may arise. Because of the planned Brexit of Great Britain from the EU, the study authors expect banks to relocate their locations from London to Frankfurt.

 

Positive indicators are coming out of Germany, a great indicator to assist those wondering where to invest.
So where should you invest?

 

 

Empire property holdings update

Empire Property Holdings May Update

Empire Property Holdings Update

Empire Property Holdings is an investment opportunity providing a fixed return for up to 4 years at 15% pa. This update is to show you the ongoing developments of the company and how their business model allows for an above average yield for an investor. Empire are developing a number of buildings not just one. To ensure that clients and potential clients can obtain as much transparency from this investment we would like to show you the latest updated photographs from the sites acquired. Empire Property Holdings have been very busy over the last 19 months. With a few developments near to completion, it would be a great time for you to see what they have been up to.

Empire Property Holdings are not just developers but they are investors too.  They have refinanced the majority of the developments they have created to keep in their portfolio. The New Commerce House refinance has recently been completed. Following this successful refinancing, Empire Property Holdings acquired Newspaper House in Blackburn with plans in place to develop 66 apartments.

Newspaper House, Blackburn

Empire Property Holdings have completed the acquisition of Newspaper House in Blackburn.  A planning application has been submitted to build 66 flats with car parking with an extremely positive response.

  • £850,000 Purchase price
  • £2,640,000 Development Costs (£40,000 per unit x 66)
  • £3,490,000 Total Cost
  • £429,000 Income (66 units x £125 per week x 52 weeks)

A benefit to the site is a rear warehouse which has been leased back to the Lancashire Telegraph for 12 months.

The development is near to completions with some of the apartments partially let. And this is even before completion showing the demand for the units.  The remaining work is the lift refurbishment, which is due to be completed within the next month. Some of the external fascia has been modernised to give a fresh modern appeal to the building.

This development is ready to be refinanced at the end of May. In tune with the business model it will then allow Empire Property Holdings to acquire the Thornhill Street site. Buy, develop, refinance repeat!

Thornhill Street, Wakefield

On the refinancing of King Charles House, Empire will purchase the Thornhill Street site which has the benefit of full planning consent to change the current use to C3 apartments.

  • £850,000 Purchase price
  • £480,000 Development costs (16 units x £30,000)
  • £1,330,000 Total Costs
  • £112,320 Income (16 units x £135 per week x 52 weeks)
  • £50,000 Further Commercial Income
  • £162,320 Total income

Thornhill Street

Globe Works, Bolton

Empire Property Holdings have purchased another site as part of their property loan note investment. Globe Works a former town centre mill in Bolton on acquired on 3rd May 2017.

A former mill to residential conversion via full planning permission, which will create 24 one bedroom, 90 two bedroom & 10 three bedroom apartments.

  • £1,700,000 – Purchase Price
  • £6,200,000 – Development Cost (124 units x £50K)
  • £7,900,000 – Total Cost
  • £1,024,800 – Income (24 1 beds x £600 x 12) (90 2 beds x £700 x 12) (10  3 beds x £800 x 12)
  • £12,800,000 – Valuation based on 8% yield
  • £8,960,000 – Refinance exit (70% LTV)

 

Globe Works Bolton

Globe Works Bolton

Globe Works Bolton

The Investment Opportunity

2 Year Income
Year 1: Interest at 10% p.a. payable every 6 months.
Year 2: Interest at 12% p.a. payable every 6 months
Total Interest 22%

2 Year Growth
Year 1: Interest at 10% p.a.
Year 2 (compounded) Interest calculated at 12% p.a.
4% bonus
Total Interest 27.2%

4 Year Growth
Years 1-4: Interest at a total 60%
Total Interest 60%

For further information contact us on 0203 026 8820 or register your interest HERE

Investment news germany

Investment News Germany September 2016

Investment News Germany September 2016

One huge German market is about to be hit by a perfect storm of zero-interest rates and low inflation

While low inflation can pose a problem for many sectors, it is helping to reinvigorate Germany’s housing market, Sean Darby and his team at Jefferies said in a note to clients on Wednesday (emphasis added):

A combination of firm wage growth, negative bund yields, dormant inflation and a booming current account surplus is allowing the German real estate market to reflate. In comparison to Western markets, the German property market starts from a much lower base and also relatively favourable price comparison. We are bullish on the real estate sector as well as the DAX.”  To read more click HERE

GERMANY REMAINS THE DRIVER OF EUROZONE GROWTH

Germany, the Eurozone’s largest economy, grew 0.4 per cent, compared with an impressive 0.7 per cent growth rate during the first three months of the year, albeit that was a better result than expected. Growth was supported by net trade as well as private and government consumption, according to Destatis, the German statistics office. The second-quarter expansion took year-on-year growth to 1.8 per cent on a seasonally adjusted basis. The unemployment rate stands at 4.2 per cent, the lowest level since reunification in 1990 and one of the lowest rates in the European Union. The labour market has now little slack and is set to tighten even further as the baby-boom generation retires.

Strong Domestic Growth Keeps Germany’s Economic Outlook Upbeat

There have been some notable external risks mentioned in the economy because the British vote to leave the EU may still have some ripple effects. Some uncertainties exist because there may be some downsides that may not be experienced immediately but will only be realized when it is too late. The German finance ministry mentioned that there have has been slower economic growth than had been expected in the three months ended in June. To read more click HERE

Further Investment News Germany. Dolphin Trust Project Update: Windorferstraße, Leipzig
As Dolphin Trust goes from strength to strength as an investment, we can provide details on one of the projects our clients have invested in. The city of Leipzig is also known by the Leipziger Messe, which is one of the oldest trade fair venues in the world and its tradition dates back to the year 1165. The most famous one is the annual “Leipzig Book Fair”. With a settlement of international renowned companies such as Porsche AG and the BMW Group, Leipzig is an attractive business location as well. The existing infrastructure with efficient transport routes such as the airport in Leipzig / Halle, modern offices, commercial and residential buildings suggests that Leipzig as a great city for economic growth.

The building is located in Kleinzschocher area and was built in the second half of the 19th century. It was the residential and commercial building of cigar manufacturer Gustav Boehme and was one of the first new buildings in the street. Dolphin Capital redeveloped the listed building from 2015-2016. Extensive work at the façade as well as at the historical stairwell were made to complement the modern furnishings of the refurbished apartments.  See this project in more detail HERE

The Dolphin Trust investment opportunity can be found here http://www.barringtonhowe.com/product/dolphin-trust-gmbh/

 

 

uk property market

UK Property Market: How is it doing now?

There’s been lots of uncertainty and apprehension for the UK and specifically the UK property market since Brexit. But some interesting data has been found. THE average UK house price has climbed by £17,000 in a year, continuing a “strong” run of growth, according to an official report. The typical property value was around £217,000 in July, marking an 8.3% year-on-year increase, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS).

Notably property values have also increased by £1,000 compared with the previous month. While the 8.3% rate of annual growth is a slowdown compared to a rate of 9.7% recorded in June, it continues “the strong growth seen since the end of 2013”, the report said. Property prices are regional. The average house price in England now stands at £233,000, while in Wales it is £145,000, Scotland £144,000 and in Northern Ireland it’s £123,000.

Across the regions of England, London understandably continues to have the highest average house price at £485,000, followed by the South East and the East of England, where house prices stand at £313,000 and £274,000 respectively. The lowest average price continues to be in the North East at £130,000.

Post Brexit the UK Property Market seems to be doing OK to say the least. In fact it’s very encouraging news. This is a great boost for our London Property Bond which continues to be a success. maintaining a strong level of equity and security for investors. Although the pound has weakened it has proved a huge motivation for overseas investment into areas such as London. The Chinese are seeing a 15% improvement on the exchange rate.

cemetery plot investment

Cemetery plots: Hottest Investment for 2016?

Most investors took a step back from investment decisions shortly after Brexit, What were the reasons? Not sure about the markets. Unclear about where to invest their money. With new taxation rules coming in April 2017, even buy to let investors are looking for an alternative investment.

Cemetery plot investment is now the hottest investment opportunity ticking all the boxes for investors. London is already struggling to house its living population. Many people are not aware but there is a major crisis facing a crisis in finding a home for its dead! London is past its peak of 8.6 million increasing the pressure on burial plots. This is compounded by the fact that two London boroughs in the form of Tower Hamlets and Hackney don’t have any land available in their borough. This in turn forces the locals to look further afield. A few miles from both of these boroughs are Rainham Cemetery in Essex where investors can buy cemetery plots as an investment.

These London cemetery plots are seen as a fantastic investment opportunity to savers who are keen to move away from buy-to-let property. The Rainham site is ideally located within the M25 and close to boroughs with either no land is available for burials. In addition this would suit and a large Muslim community living in the local area. Location Location Location. That’s what the shrewd property and land investors always tout and this is no different. “The numbers are compelling” stated Peter Evans, Managing Director of Barrington Howe. “ The average price per cemetery plot for a non-resident in Havering Council is over £5700. Our research has shown that there has been a 47.5% increase in Havering Council for burial plots since 2012. This is a highly appreciating asset, a supply shortage and a huge demand.”

“Anyone can do their homework and see it’s well documented that there’s a shortage in burial space and by 2021 all the boroughs could well be exhausted,” says Peter Evans, who’s company specialises in asset backed investment opportunities. “It’s ideal for investors looking for an alternative to buy to let. The developer is guaranteeing a 40% return in 2 years. And with capital gains tax allowances, investors can net 20% pa which is an incredible return.”

Havering council have increased the price of burial plots in their cemeteries by over 30% this year, a compelling figure for any investor. Whilst a burial plot or cemetery plot not might be to everyone’s taste, it does provide an alternative investment for those looking for ownership with a fixed exit strategy. Cemetery plot investment could be a viable alternative to the buy to let market.

Cemetery plots

brexit

Brexit. Are you a smart investor or the sit and wait type?

Brexit. Are you a smart investor or the sit and wait type?
We have known for quite some time, the decision to leave the European Union (Brexit) would have an impact on currency and stock market holdings. However, there is one financial sector which will thrive as a result, the bond market.As is always the case when there is economic uncertainty, shrewd investors seek out safe havens while markets stabilise. The current trend is to strengthen your portfolio with the security that bonds offer. This is opposed to the volatility and uncertainty of other investment classes, such as equities, commodities and Forex (FX).Smart investor will take stock of their position and put in place the best strategy to protect their portfolio. This requires investors to be proactive, rather than stand on the outside looking in. For the masses, they pause. They Standstill. Sit and wait.Take a look at a recent article from the Telegraph business section, it makes for very interesting reading  on how best to protect against Brexit. CLICK HEREBonds have always been a popular investment for British investors as they provide investors with a regular income, they are also seen as a very important addition to balance out and diversify an investment portfolio. Overseas investors will also see this as a great opportunity to take advantage of the pound. Take a look at diversifying your portfolio HERE

 

bexit

Brexit. So what’s next for the UK post EU Referendum?

Brexit. So what’s next for the UK post EU Referendum?Well there is the obvious knee jerk reaction to the voting results with markets being affected.  The Bank of England says it expects some market volatility after the Brexit vote but that the UK economy can handle it. “Inevitably, there will be a period of uncertainty and adjustment following this result.Brexit has caused in a short space of time uncertainty. People worry about what happens next and it makes people feel vulnerable. With uncertainty people generally take a breath. They pause. They put things on hold. Why; because there is a general sense of fear.  Successful investors tend to take control of the fear. Be decisive and listen to those with credibility and knowledge. Not just those who throw statements out without backing it up. We’ve heard enough of these misinformed vocal debates with the political campaigns.Warren buffet arguably the greatest investor of our generation buys or invests in times of uncertainty. If the wealthiest investor is saying this, then when is it a good time to invest? If you don’t know who Warren Buffet is take a look at this link http://bit.ly/therichestinvestorCurrency
The Pound has weakened against the dollar and the Euro. But haven’t we seen this before? What happened? It strengthened again. One industry where the UK is strong in is finance. London is one of the biggest financial centres in the world. History shows that when industries go down they eventually come back up.Property Landlords
Now that Cameron has resigned will the removal of mortgage tax relief still go ahead next year with a new conservative leader to be in place by October? Along with the 3% increase in stamp duty this has got to be the biggest blow to property investors and landlords. A different leader and different approach? If this new tax goes ahead, there will be the inevitable higher rents making it harder for first time buyers.
Interest rates
There is talk that interest rates might have to be increased due the pressure of inflation. Equally there is more speculation that interest rates might have to be lowered if there is a severe shock to the economy. Who actually knows?
House Prices
The IMF have been quoted that there could be a drop in house prices. That is possible. There could be a possible drop but always starts in London. But with the high predictions for growth in property market pre Brexit, we are talking a possible drop on where it WOULD have been in the next few years.  So still up but maybe not as much. The housing shortage is still present. The demand for houses continues to increase.
One thing which is clear that there are changes ahead but is the UK going to fall on its knees as the scaremongering has been quoted? The UK existed before the EU and it will exist post the EU.
Mark Carney the Governor of the Bank of England has stated “There will be no initial change in the way our people can travel, in the way our goods can move or the way our services can be sold. “And it will take some time for the United Kingdom to establish new relationships with Europe and the rest of the world.”
Carney added the Bank expects “some market and economic volatility” as those new relationships are struck. He added: “But we are well prepared for this.  The Treasury and the Bank of England have engaged in extensive contingency planning and the Chancellor and I have been in close contact, including through the night and this morning.  The Bank will not hesitate to take additional measures as required as those markets adjust and the UK economy moves forward.”
A sensible and level headed approach is what’s needed but today is a reflection and an instant reaction to the results of the EU Referendum.  There is no crystal ball. There are no guarantees. There has never been.

best cash isa

What investors need to know

What investors need to know. Now that the media attention has died down, it’s a good time to reflect on some of the 2016 Spring Budget welcome changes introduced for savers and investors.

Increased incentives

Whilst the adult Individual Savings Account (ISA) limit for the current tax year remains at £15,240, savers and investors will be able to choose to invest in cash ISAs, stocks and shares ISAs, or an ISA which operates through peer-to-peer lending platforms, or a mixture of the three, up to the permitted allowance. Barrington Howe will shortly be announcing an ISA offering to maximise your tax allowance with one of the best cash ISA opportunities. A great opportunity for investors looking for the best ISA rates.
From April 2017 the ISA allowance will rise to £20,000; this is clearly good news for savers and investors looking to put more of their money into tax-efficient investments.

Increased personal allowances

The personal allowance, the amount you can earn before paying income tax, is increased to £11,000 in the current tax year and will rise to £11,500 from April 2017. The higher rate tax threshold is increased to £43,000 for this tax year and will rise to £45,000 in the 2017-18 tax year.

Capital Gains Tax

The first £11,100 of gains made in this tax year will be free from Capital Gains Tax (CGT). The Chancellor announced more good news in the form of a rate cut for those liable to CGT in the current tax year. In changes that the government hope will encourage further investment in business, a basic rate taxpayer will see the rate drop from 18% to 10%, and higher rate tax payers will see it fall from 28% to 20%. However, those who own a second property will continue to pay at either 18% or 28% when that property is sold.
The Chancellor decided to leave pension tax relief alone, meaning that the incentives to save remain in place.
Scams are on the rise
The tactics used by scammers to encourage people to part with their hard-earned savings and pension funds are often highly-sophisticated and constantly changing, so it’s very important for you to be fraud aware. One example has been outlined by Action Fraud1, the UK’s national reporting centre for fraud and cyber-crime. It has issued a warning about a new scam that has recently come to their attention targeting people in their 50s and 60s. This involves fraudsters offering investments in property in Cape Verde. Often the cold calling companies are over selling these opportunities and in some cases they are fictitious.
How to avoid Fraudulent companies?
There are a number of ways to avoid such companies if you are looking for an investment.
Meet the companies involved. Often people are stand offish. You get more from a face to face meeting than you do on the phone Gain a bit of knowledge. Try to understand the investment. Anyone with more knowledge on a subject can be more comfortable but more importantly make an informed decision.
Ask for a due diligence pack or further background information. Make your own enquiries. Do an internet search and see what is being written about them.

investment news barrington howe

Investment News Dolphin Trust

Investment News
Germany and German real estate in particular is seeing a sustained growth. Dolphin Trust, one of our investment opportunities is reaping the rewards.

German Private Sector Growth Accelerates
Further investment news shows that growth in Germany’s private sector accelerated in May to hit the highest level so far this year, a survey showed today. This suggests that Europe’s largest economy will extend its surprisingly strong start to the year into the second quarter.  Click Here to Read the full story

European Real Estate Continues to Attract Investors
Investor appetite continues to grow in most European commercial markets, with Germany leading the way for the 2nd quarter in a row.  For further details CLICK HERE

German Economy Fared Well in Q1 as Trade Surplus Grows
The trade surplus is a key gauge of an economy’s comparative strength and in recent months has highlighted the robustness of Europe’s biggest economy amid the current global economic uncertainties.  For further details CLICK HERE

Dolphin Trust updates
This is the latest update on some of the current developments benefiting our Dolphin Trust clients.

The Old Cigar Factory, Fabrikweg 12, Horb
The old Cigar Factory in Horb now has a new face! In the words of the project co-ordinator, Jochen Krause of Deutsche Planbau GmbH, thanks to the fast progress of the teams at the Dolphin Trust construction site, the Cigar Factory has now had a facelift.
During refurbishment, Dolphin Trust will create nine new apartments in the old Cigar Factory and will bring new life to the government listed building, built in 1898. Despite its historic age, modern standards of energy efficiency will be achieved and high value materials will be used for all apartments for modern living comforts.

In the last few days the loggia, which is visible from the street, has been finished. The old roof section above the stairway has also been completely renewed and the attic has new flooring.  In just a few more days the ceilings of all floors will be completed.
For full details on this investment opportunity please CLICK HERE

Why do we Invest?

Why do we invest? This question came to mind as I spoke with a friend over the weekend. Unfortunately he is currently out of work. Having worked for the same company for the last 15 years, he was suddenly made redundant. Redundancy is nothing new. I am sure many people reading this have gone through a similar fate. But as I apologised for his situation (although it was no fault of mine), it was his reply that resonated with me. “It’s OK. I’m alright for now until my funds run out”. His only source of income was his job and now that this has gone, he has no further income until he gets another job. His level of financial independence is only a matter of months.

This is just ONE of the reasons why we invest. Creating a passive income allows you to build a system for making money without working for it. If your job is your only support system, what happens when it’s unexpectedly taken from you? There’s still all your outgoings but no income. As one of the greatest investors, Warren Buffet once said, plant a seed today to reap the rewards of tomorrow. So why do we invest? To avoid that feeling of stress and pressure when your money runs out. To prevent that anxious feeling when you are fighting to find your next job. It’s a shame they don’t teach these things at school. Relying on just your job for your income……well it’s like putting all your eggs in one basket. But not the kind you usually associate with investing.